John Burn-Murdoch

John Burn-Murdoch


Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Currently working on bias in AI | john.burn-murdoch@ft.com | #dataviz

316253 followers  •  4172 follow  •    •   https://t.co/VZF28wenJw

And do read the linked thread: The point is not "oh look we’re fine now", it’s that the more muted current trajectories are due in most part to the actions we’re taking to reduce transmission. Relax those actions, transmission grows, and mortality rates (not just numbers) grow.

Oh and I should that as always, Spanish mortality should be viewed with extreme skepticism. Today @kikollan  and team have the latest episode of the hit series "Spain struggles to count deaths " HT @danieldombey 

@RumiKhanMD  @EricTopolT  @ICNARCC  @NPRT  @ScottGottliebMDUo  be clear that’s for patients receiving critical care. It was stated in the title which appears to have been lopped off

NEW: a fresh layout for our US excess deaths data Placing each state’s chart in its rough location highlights different shapes of the epidemic, from short but towering spikes in north-east to prolonged climbs or twin-peaks in south & west Free to read:

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Do read the full story by @hannahkuchler  & @Edgecliffe  for a deep dive into how the US lost control of the virus, with early missteps in New York playing a critical role:

I particularly love this wonderful graphic from the brilliant @DatumFan  , showing that as Trump focused on stopping arrivals from China, Europe was already a key source of transmission to the US. By early February more new cases were coming from chains within the US, not overseas

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This US piece is the penultimate instalment from our series on the lessons from the year so far. Tomorrow, we turn to Africa

@AlistairHaimes Hi Alistair, what’s your source for that re: Paris? That Lombardy chart was sparked by an initial chart showing that on average, there is if anything a positive association between spring and autumn waves, with Paris a prime example

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in unrelated news, I’d better get that haircut booked while they’re still allowed

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NEW: Friday 27 March update of coronavirus mortality trajectories • UK has more dead at this stage than any country except Spain & Italy ⚠️ • US now clearly more deaths than China or Iran, could soon pass France • India added Live version FREE TO READ

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NEW: a lot of data on reported Covid deaths is highly suspect, so we’ve been looking into excess mortality — how many more people than usual have been dying around the world in recent weeks? Story by me, @ChrisGiles_  & @valentinaromei  (free to read):

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NEW with @AndyBounds , @SarahNev  & @Laura_K_Hughes : The UK government’s published numbers of new cases at local authority level only include pillar 1 and *not* pillar 2 cases, meaning as many as 90% of new cases are missing from the data Thread:

New project: A “Bar Chart Race” animation showing the changing ranks of the 10 biggest cities in the world since 1500. Fascinating to watch giant cities vanish after falling in conquests, and amazing that three UK cities were in the top 8 in the late 1800s.

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