14) Full story

And do read the linked thread: The point is not "oh look we’re fine now", it’s that the more muted current trajectories are due in most part to the actions we’re taking to reduce transmission. Relax those actions, transmission grows, and mortality rates (not just numbers) grow.

Oh and I should that as always, Spanish mortality should be viewed with extreme skepticism. Today @kikollan  and team have the latest episode of the hit series "Spain struggles to count deaths " HT @danieldombey 

@RumiKhanMD  @EricTopolT  @ICNARCC  @NPRT  @ScottGottliebMDUo  be clear that’s for patients receiving critical care. It was stated in the title which appears to have been lopped off

NEW: a fresh layout for our US excess deaths data Placing each state’s chart in its rough location highlights different shapes of the epidemic, from short but towering spikes in north-east to prolonged climbs or twin-peaks in south & west Free to read:

Do read the full story by @hannahkuchler  & @Edgecliffe  for a deep dive into how the US lost control of the virus, with early missteps in New York playing a critical role:

I particularly love this wonderful graphic from the brilliant @DatumFan  , showing that as Trump focused on stopping arrivals from China, Europe was already a key source of transmission to the US. By early February more new cases were coming from chains within the US, not overseas

This US piece is the penultimate instalment from our series on the lessons from the year so far. Tomorrow, we turn to Africa

@AlistairHaimes Hi Alistair, what’s your source for that re: Paris? That Lombardy chart was sparked by an initial chart showing that on average, there is if anything a positive association between spring and autumn waves, with Paris a prime example

in unrelated news, I’d better get that haircut booked while they’re still allowed