FiveThirtyEight

FiveThirtyEight


The home of Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight on Twitter. Politics, Economics, Science, Life, Sports.

1332632 followers  •  302 follow  •  Eastern Time (US & Canada)  •   http://www.fivethirtyeight.com

Jan. 6 has given the right hundreds of new martyrs.

An updating estimate of the generic congressional ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in an election:

College football’s usual suspects have looked shaky so far. Are playoff spots up for grabs?

An updating calculation of President Biden's approval rating:

We’re asking you to make probabilistic predictions for each NFL matchup this season — can you outsmart our forecasts?

The Virginia gubernatorial race will serve as an indication of how toxic Trump’s brand remains in the state.

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president:

Which Democratic priorities will make it through Congress this fall?

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The 2020 presidential election map is settled. Biden will win 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232.

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Do you think the country will elect a woman president in the next 20 years? Stacey Abrams: Yes. Do you think they'll elect a black woman? Stacey Abrams: Yes. Do you think they'll elect you? Stacey Abrams: Yes. That's my plan. And I'm very pragmatic.

The Niners have a 93.8% chance to win. Mahomes will need magic. #SuperBowl 

For your sleep schedule planning purposes: -We should have near-complete unofficial results from Wisconsin early tomorrow AM -Officials in Michigan say they’ll be done tomorrow as well -Pennsylvania results probably won’t be known until Friday

THE ULTIMATE HALLOWEEN CANDY POWER RANKING:

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Law enforcement officials using tear gas on protesters outside the White House to clear a path for Trump to visit a church was arguably one of most significant moments of the president breaking with the core values of American democracy.

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