Chris Giles

Chris Giles


Economics Editor, FT

152770 followers  •  1328 follow  •    •   https://t.co/PNlY3dM0Qv

BoE criticised by internal watchdog over easing programme via @FT 

@cricketwyvern  Be careful with your timing David. T4 with schools shut is little different from lockdown. That’s where decreases have been greatest and levelling off visible a week ago. Unless you think it would have been fine to reopen schools?

@cricketwyvern  That is true and fair. Given the scale of misinformation from Covid-sceptics, it can make those trying to be balanced and data-led overly irritated sometimes

Really important story, courtesy of @jdportes  and @StrongerInNos  Looks like there has been an exodous of immigrants during Covid crisis from UK - can't get a job so go home Big implications for post-covid workforce and visas via @FinancialTimes 

Why we need the Covid vaccine to work. UK economy dropped back to 8.9% below Feb level in Nov.

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Sorry. Make that 8.5% Don’t @ me and tell me this changes everything

@DuncanWeldon  Yes - what the exact number is - who knows, but this is much more believable than the official data and chimes with other data

@jdportes  @miss_mcinerneyS  @EdConwaySkyu  @ONSrely  housing is one of the biggest drivers. People want security of tenure for bringing up kids PRS doesn't give people that

There was a time when an earlier version of this chart was all the rage among lockdown/covid sceptics - saying incorrectly, "see, no excess deaths" The last data point, now as then, is a guess. But the trend has been doing this, sadly

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Sufficient data worldwide now exists to conclude that, to date, the UK has the highest rate of excess deaths in the Coronavirus pandemic in the world Free to read article with @jburnmurdoch  1/

NEW: The excess UK deaths linked to coronavirus are likely to be around 41,000 as of yesterday, not the 17,337 of the hospital deaths announcements Here is the explanation for that estimate, which I will update daily 1/

Update: After today's official statistics on deaths linked to coronavirus, a cautious estimate of all UK deaths up to today 05 May stands at 53,800 A significant upward revision 1/

We knew the daily coronavirus death counts were too low because of reporting delays We had little idea they were 80% too low.... All in guts of todays @ONS  statistics

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The @FinancialTimes  never* calls for heads to roll in editorials. It is a policy* * broken today

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Update: Following the latest hospital figures for the number of people who have died after testing positive for coronavirus, a cautious estimate of the UK excess deaths linked to the outbreak is 50,200 some methodology follows 1/

Today, after shockingly high @ONS  death figures, a cautious estimate of the number of UK people who have died directly or indirectly due to the coronavirus pandemic is 46,000 There have been significant upward revisions today, which I will explain 1/

The ONS numbers are as bad - in fact worse - that I had expected. This level of excess deaths in England & Wales since the coronavirus outbreak started is 27,015 Data is for registrations of deaths on average happening by April 13, when equivalent hospital number was 13,423

UPDATE: A grim set of official figures today on deaths means my estimate of the number of people in the UK who have died since mid March linked to coronavirus is 97,700 After a recent acceleration, UK is on course to hit 100,000 by Saturday 1/

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