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Forecast of last MPs’ round by Patrick Flynn of @smarkets  Mordaunt 133 Sunak 129 Truss 96 Based on who MPs nominated in 2019, when elected, EUref position, voting record, service in Johnson’s cabinet & constituency variables

Also - “we let him get away with it” & “we made a terrible mistake” after Russia annexing Crimea in 2014 refers in this article only to use of Russian energy in EU, not welcoming oligarchs, nor PMs argument in EUref campaign 2 yrs later that EU “causing real trouble” in Ukraine

… would be interesting to know how the PM reflects on this argument that the EU bore some culpability re Russia’s original invasion of Ukraine… wasn’t in script for his big EUref foreign policy speech in May 2016, but he mentioned it three times in Q&A… again here:

A softer Brexit might have better reflected the #EUref  vote, but may not have been possible

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ICYMI: Belarus will soon be sharing #GNSS  data with the EUREFPermanent Network. (Image: EUREF)

BoE believes in last three months 2019 economy did not grow - 0%, and first three months 2020 heading for just 0.2%... average quarterly GDP growth in 2019 0.2%, while not recession, poor even by sluggish recent standards... shrinking business investment since EUref cited by BoE:

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For many people today Brexit isn't entirely or even primarily abt EU & our relationship with it. It's also abt democracy. It's abt feeling that your 2016 EUref vote is actually being respected. Real q is whether Brexit on BJ's terms fulfils that. & does that shift the dynamic?

debate revealed important reality - both main parties doubling down on 2017 2 big currents determining election are: - whether Labour ‘17 Leave voters want Brexit more than they dont want Johnson for 5 yrs - And whether LibDem voters want EUref more than they dont want Corbyn

#Brexit IQ Test - How Long Will it Take You? #EURef 

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#Brexit IQ Test - How Long Will it Take You? #EURef 

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"What is the EU?" is the second top UK question on the EU since the #EURefResults  were officially announced

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We are off now to an Irish pub to get decently drunk. And from tomorrow on we will again work for a better #Europe ! Promised! #EURef 

Don't worry Britain, at least your likely new Prime Minister is a Jedi Master... #EURefResults 

So many people are signing the petition for a second #EUref  the government site has crashed

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The Pound falls below $1.35 for first time since 1985 as #EURefResults  show #Leave  side in lead

Well that's our chances of winning the Eurovision Song Contest well and truly bollocked, presumably. #EUref 

German finance ministry says there are concerns France, Austria, Finland, the Netherlands & Hungary could follow UK's lead in leaving #EUref 

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