Rob Majteles

Rob Majteles


Founder, Treehouse Capital. Focused on macro tail risk and volatility. Prior experience: Tech investor, board member, fund advisor, and ceo. Cancer survivor.

6495 followers  •  500 follow  •    •   https://t.co/dUUniJna21

Nah, we don’t do market realities anymore. Not in oil markets. Not anywhere. We’re smarter than all of that market reality stuff now 😳

I am now short $agnc, again. It fell apart in Q1 and I exited then. Now it has charged right back up to those same entry prices. Makes sense~it has rallied dramatically because all the facts out now about mortgages and the impact of the coronavirus pandemic are so … good?

The real ‘debate’ markets are having is not capitalism vs socialism. It’s liquidity vs insolvency. Discuss

They want financial markets to succeed~and have all of their focus on the next bailout there and the next... There is no real evidence they care about the economy at all. In fact, evidence is mounting they are biased against it. There, I said it. Commence the mocking.

Excellent interview with @jtcrombie ⁩ “Why JPMorgan’s Aronov Was Planning for a Credit Bust”

Excellent from @pdacosta ⁩, but ‘reluctantly’? “Federal Reserve Reluctantly Embraces Even Larger Role In Economy”

“we should heed the way bailouts tend to work, look at the extent of the sell-off in credit, do a lot of homework, breathe very deeply, and buy credit” @johnauthers ⁩ was on point last week

Yes, I am a biased and proud backer etc, but @Backstage_Cap  is showing great leadership in this dark time. Stepping up its desire to help others, sharing even more ... Over time, this becomes part of a vital competitve advantage in every kind of business.

A lot of good discussion about moral hazard risk of recent/ongoing Fed interventions. But, what if a more near-term risk is the call-your-f*cking-bluff hazard: But stepping out sooooooo far, Fed inviting tests of resolve to keep every sh*tty corp borrower alive, no matter what.

Loading
Loading

True for Disney, true for every company~and more or less the hardest part of every CEOs job

tweet picture

He’s right. “We should bail out employees, we should bail out citizens, not the corporations who made these mistakes.” @nntaleb 

The toughest competitor @justinkan : Startups mostly don't compete against each other, they compete against no one giving a shit

This is why he's @warrenbuffett  and we're not~we all say this, but he does it.

tweet picture

How come startups don't work on important things anymore? Oh, wait "This startup can grow metal like a tree"

Very interesting from @nickadamsjudge . Crypto creates a new way to think about derivatives?

Well, thank goodness debt doesn’t have to be, you know, paid back or anything or this would really suck ?

Loading
Loading