Nassim Nicholas Tale

Nassim Nicholas Tale

Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.

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@NachoOliveras  @RaniaKhalekNo . You need to trust the source. Also you may be lulled by a certain stance. You may agree with the propagandist on Iran vs Saudi Arabia, then get confused thinking all her positions are clean.

Outside an ancestral environment (or a small village), you cannot be both ethical and striving for people to like you.

Finishing a paper in philosophy of probability with @DrCirillo 

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@Firsou  @alexandersquatsP  @trishankkarthikr  @ryankono  @Gordon48814362blem  my USJ lectktshur was on TV with ⅓ of the population watching so I can't go anywhere without being bothered. Only solution: beard shaven.

In my textbook I show but not with variance but 1/std the precision parameter

Here is the skinny. Depends on whatyoucall "mixture".


Of course, the Genetically Modified Mosquito project has gone wrong, with, really, "unforeseen outcomes". When will IYIs learn that we don't understand complex systems enough to play with them? Or when will we learn that science is not scientism?

ATTENTION SALARYPEOPLE Next Friday when your guaranteed monthly paycheck is deposited, take a moment of gratitude for the entrepreneurs who took the risks so you get this risk-free income. Shaming an risk-taker for losing money is like shaming a soldier for losing a limb.

For real people, if something works in theory, but not in practice, it doesn't work. For academics, if something works in practice, but not in theory, it doesn't exist.

When people call you intelligent it is almost always because they agree with you. Otherwise, they would call you arrogant.

1- Ignore surveys. Pple think they prefer restaurants 1) quiet so they can tawk, 2) roomy, 3) no line. Yet they flock to 1) loud, 2) cramped restaurants 3) w/50 min wait. Never ask pple what they want, watch what they do. Revelation of preferences. #SkinInTheGame 

In any profession, 90% of people are clueless but work by situational imitation, narrow mimicry & semi-conscious role-playing. Except social "science" and journalism where it is 99% and 100%, respectively.

If assholes don't find you arrogant, you are doing something wrong.