Nassim Nicholas Tale

Nassim Nicholas Tale

Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.

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2) Another error about Covid: thinking that since mortality is lower for the young and/or healthy, that the SEVERITY will be necessarily lower for them. Do not conflate survival & severity rates.

A severe error in reasoning both in the Covid-denying cranks & their respondents: "All these reactions for a virus that *only* (sic) killed 500K". Without the said reactions (public & private) the death rate would have been much, much higher (both directly and indirectly).

Friends, a nice way to start the week with an elegant integrand. There are as many ways to solve the integral of sin[x]/x as they are ways to mess up a trading strategy. Again, please limit to math comments. [Pollution of the feed with cute & non-math related remarks = block].

Of course. But so far all I've seen is cranks doing so.

Fucking idiot reread my comments about BTC.

@joex92_  @robinmonottiThis  is BS. Beyond BS. Ivermectin is typically delivered day 1 of symptoms for 4-5 days during the viral phase. Typically, you avoid steroids in the viral phase because of their immunosupressive effect. So dex comes usually day 7 and there is no overlap (several half-lives >)

General Solution based on the Inverse Characteristic Function of the Uniform Sum Distribution. Congrats to @LaurentDietric2  who did a thorough proof.

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TRUE WEALTH Worriless sleeping Clear conscience Reciprocal gratitude Absence of envy Muscle strength Frequent laughs No meals alone No gym classes Good digestive functions No meeting rooms Periodic surprises Foamy coffee Crusty bread Ability to nap Access to a hammock

Explain to me why we should spent taxpayer money to bailout companies (airlines) who spent their cash buying their own stock so the CEO gets optionality, instead of having a crisis buffer. We should bail out individuals based on needs, not corporations. #Moralhazard 

The rarest (and most valuable) thing on this planet: a clear mind.

Much of the problems of modernity is taking religion literally and science metaphorically, rather than the reverse.

Why you are harming others by not "overreacting"

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I've been getting rid of my BTC. Why? A currency is never supposed to be more volatile than what you buy & sell with it. You can't price goods in BTC In that respect, it's a failure (at least for now). It was taken over by Covid denying sociopaths w/the sophistication of amoebas

ATTENTION SALARYPEOPLE Next Friday when your guaranteed monthly paycheck is deposited, take a moment of gratitude for the entrepreneurs who took the risks so you get this risk-free income. Shaming an risk-taker for losing money is like shaming a soldier for losing a limb.

MASKS One comment about masks and nonlinearities that these imbeciles are not getting. Reducing exposure to viruses by 30% thanks to an "imperfect" mask does not mean reducing risk of contracting the disease by just 30%. By convexity, it must be more than 30%, can even be 95%.

The opposite of education is not ignorance; it is education in social science.

This is the strongest statistical association I've seen w/ respect to the virus. Wear a mask, mandate others to wear masks, & remember that @WHO  is criminally incompetent. To repeat @WHO  is criminally incompetent. PS-Don't get into elevators, buses, etc. unless your mask in N95