History, economics, politics, theory. Prof. Columbia University. Director of the European Institute. Born UK, raised FRG. Mensch mit Migrationshintergrund.
The bond market selloff that was triggered by news of Democrat’s double win in Georgia back in January has been gathering steam, but is still short of any of the really big collapses. How much more to come?
Nat Sec, “competitiveness”, global bottlenecks, whatever your angle everyone is worrying about the chip shortage right now!
What will the Biden climate package look like? Beyond Biden stimulus 1.0 overheating etc, I have been wondering where thinking about the infrastructure/climate package is at. @yayitsrob has some of the answers. Insightful as always! @TheAtlantic
How vaccines crushed polio in the US in the mid 1950s and measles in Nigeria after 2005.
Looking at this scatter plot of Covid mortality and GDP loss across EU, rather than a trade off, you might be tempted to say that there were simply some countries that handled the crisis well and others that did not.
UPS and DHL are building football field-sized ‘freezer farm’ for cold storage of Covid-19 vaccine deliveries.
International evidence could hardly be more clear: if you control the virus, spending in restaurants, entertainment venues etc bounces back. If not. It doesn’t. @FT tracker
"There’s no playbook for this kind of crisis!” … well, now you mention it … What about the 69-page color-coded 2016 NSC document helpfully labeled ... “PLAYBOOK for Early Response to Infectious Disease Threats" @ddiamond @nahaltoosi
Brazil’s 600 real per month auxílio emergencial actually turned 2020 into a remarkably good year for poverty-reduction. Brazil’s gini fell in 2020 from 0.55 to 0.49! Extreme poverty and inequality are a political choice. How will it choose in 2021? #LatAm
The US is the only advanced economy in which maternal death rates are rising. US death rates are now higher than those in Russia. Italian death rates are c. 1/9th of those in the US. Can this be right? If it is, why is it not a HUGE public health issue?
The @OECD predictions for GDP collapse are astonishing. Japan hardest hit.