Stratfor

Stratfor


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Even if Hong Kong manages to escape further escalation and a harsher crackdown, the long-running crisis has deepened scars in the city and widened gaps with #Beijing , making further flare-ups likely.

"While fundamental fiscal reforms remain unlikely, #Brussels  will be more apt to "turn a blind eye" to high deficits in countries with low growth rates."

@100deadlyskills  talked about his new #book  #TheRightKindofCrazy : My Life as a Navy SEAL, Covert Operative, and Boy Scout from Hell on this #podcast  episode with @fred_burton .

Whoever takes charge in #Bolivia  will have to contend not only with lingering domestic divisions but also with instability in the region at large as neighboring #Chile  and #Ecuador  face their own protest movements.

Many of the factors dragging on the Spanish#economy  are external. But the fact that #Spain  likely will not have a fully functioning #government  for months means Madrid will have little to no room to introduce legislative reforms to address the economy.

"The #WhiteHouse  held firm against such sanctions and penalties, fearing it would lose influence in #SaudiArabia  and lucrative arms contracts to Russia and China."

"A new #EuropeanCommission  led by President#UrsulavonderLeyen  is slated to take over in December after the European Parliament approves her team later this month."

#SaudiArabia  is struggling to implement its policies and some of its Vision 2030 goals, especially the project's more radical proposals, because of lower oil prices and rising lifestyle demands from ordinary Saudis."

#In the coming years, #EU  governments' divergent interests will complicate this policymaking process and make it increasingly difficult for the commission to implement new legislation."

"Tensions with #Iran  are at all-time highs. Tehran has shown that it is willing to harass oil tankers near #SaudiArabia  and, more importantly, strike oil infrastructure inside Saudi Arabia itself."

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Erdogan seeks asylum in Germany, U.S. military source says, @MSNBC  reported.

We forecasted these 24 geopolitical developments correctly. Which ones did you get right? Download the PDF and see.

#Turkey military has been ordered to pull out of northern #Iraq .

Tracking #Turkish  President Erdogan's airplane, now over Sea of Marmara.

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The Catalan parliament appointed a pro-independence regional president on May 14. In the coming months, political tensions in #Catalonia  won't return to the levels seen in 2017. But the issue of Catalan secessionism won't be settled either.

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Gunmen staged another high-profile attack on a cafe popular with foreigners in #BurkinaFaso . #ThreatLens 

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Financial markets, companies are starting to worry about economic consequences if #Catalonia  declares independence.

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Voters in the United Kingdom have chosen #Brexit . This is how it could affect Europe.

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