Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (https://t.co/EYTxvN6BLY). Sports/politics/food geek.
In case this is useful: Trump is actually rated fairly poorly (42% favorable, 50% unfavorable) by active-duty members of the military.
In general then, this reflects recent patterns. Deaths are declining (this is the lowest total for a non-holiday Tuesday since 3/31) ... BUT the other metrics are in danger of slipping into a plateau after progress was made earlier.
Every de Blasio tweet is getting ratio'ed in a way that hasn't been seen since the halcyon days of the Howard Schultz campaign.
Gotta be honest: On a night like tonight, I'm still pretty pissed at those journalists and news organizations which treated Hillary Clinton's email server as a matter of apocalyptic importance.
If you're one of those news organizations that treated Clinton's private emails like they were a national emergency, the solution isn't to treat Ivanka's private emails like they're also a national emergency—rather, it's to acknowledge that you kinda fucked up on Clinton.
So far, Parkland is *not* fading from the news the way that mass shootings usually do. (The graph shows Google searches for the term "gun control".) The students speaking out makes a pretty big difference.