Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (https://t.co/EYTxvN6BLY). Sports/politics/food geek.
So: * Sanders 50/50ish to win a pledged delegate majority. * "No majority" still a fairly likely outcome, although note that Sanders will win the nomination via plurality some of the time that happens.
Since results are so slow to come in, it may be a while before we can turn the model back on, but these first two scenarios give you most of what you need to know:
Think I wrote an article a few years ago saying hockey wouldn't work in Vegas and boy was that wrong. Really good crowd, fans are mostly locals and seem hockey-smart and pumped up for a random regular-season game. Also they make the slot-machine sound when the Knights score.
Gotta be honest: On a night like tonight, I'm still pretty pissed at those journalists and news organizations which treated Hillary Clinton's email server as a matter of apocalyptic importance.
If you're one of those news organizations that treated Clinton's private emails like they were a national emergency, the solution isn't to treat Ivanka's private emails like they're also a national emergency—rather, it's to acknowledge that you kinda fucked up on Clinton.
So far, Parkland is *not* fading from the news the way that mass shootings usually do. (The graph shows Google searches for the term "gun control".) The students speaking out makes a pretty big difference.