Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (https://t.co/EYTxvN6BLY). Sports/politics/food geek.
It's funny that there's so much Trust The Experts™ discourse on COVID but not really on other issues. There's a strong view in political science that the president's bully pulpit is overrated, and certainly in a state that voted for Trump by 39 points.
We're at kind of a weird media moment where fairly conventional center-leftism is seen as contrarian.
So the thesis here is that Walensky follows the medical science, but actually this is bad and the CDC should tell weird little lies to people?
I guess you can steel-man this by saying "behavioral science is science too!". I strongly agree. But i) the public health community's instincts for behavioral science have been poor; ii) Behavioral science would suggest an agency being less honest with people has consequences.
If I were *fully vaccinated* and my parents didn't let me go to summer camp after I'd had a lonely and "terrible" school year by their own admission, I wouldn't *never* forgive them but I'd be mad about it for a long, long time.
Wait, so Trump not only rejects stimulus funds that would probably have helped his re-election chances, but *also* does so in a way to make sure that he personally will take blame for it?
"RBG dies 6 weeks before the election and the ceremony at the White House to name her replacement turns into a COVID-19 superspreading event" is, on the one hand, a remarkably strange sequence of events, but on the other hand chock-full of foreseeable risks that went unprevented.
I'm not sure it's really sunk in yet, even among reporters, that we're probably going to get 2 runoffs in Georgia on Jan. 5 that will determine control of the Senate.