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  2. Francesc Riverola
23,192 followers   •   322 following   •   Barcelona   •   http://www.fxstreet.com
President and Founder of http://FXStreet.com The world's leading Foreign Exchange portal. Opinions are my own.

Latest Scoops

Closed 0.0 Lots 0.0 for 0.0 pips, total for today +9.7 pips
TD Securities 1/2: PM May's defeat following " meaningless vote" was expected. We downplay today's no confidence vote on her leadership as she is likely to survive. Political overtures by PM to rival parties in aftermath of defeat suggest that a soft Brexit may be in the offing
Danske Bank 1/2: As we are now in unchartered territory, the next days of debate in parliament and not least the no-confidence vote tomorrow (today) will be directional for #GBP. We expect $EURGBP to stay in the 0.88-0.9060 range until further #Brexit clarification.
ABN Amro 1/6: Germany’s Statistisches Bundesamt published its 2018 annual economic growth figures today. GDP expanded by 1.5% in 2018, down from 2.2% in 2017. In line with what had already been suggested by trade data and the quarterly growth numbers for 2018Q1-Q3, the weakening
ABN Amro 1/2: While the government shutdown is persisting somewhat longer than expected, it affects only around a quarter of federal government workers, and many of these are continuing to work for the time being without pay.
National Australia Bank 1/3: The bottom line is the equations point to quite a slowdown in both economies – but no recession out in 2020. Slowing is more pronounced in the US where by late 2019 & into 2020 GDP looks set to slow to below potential (around 1¾%) while Australia
National Australia Bank: Nab Markets recently published a note on Probit modelling from yield curves on the possibility of a #USrecession. That suggested a possibility of around 25% - i.e. a mild chance but one that has increased recently.
Rabobank 1/3: We won’t be getting US retail sales due to the government shutdown, or business inventories, but we will get the US Fed’s Beige Book. What can that tell us to help explain their sudden volte farce, including even the hawkish #George urging “patience”, and #Kaplan
KBC Bank: We still see no hard case for a sustained USD rally going forward, but for now day day-to-day #EURUSD momentum is again negative. We look for a botomming out process. $EURUSD 1.1309 is first minor support.
ING Bank 1/6: We estimate that the probability-weighted outcome for #GBP has marginally improved - by one big figure for both $EURGBP and $GBPUSD based on our estimates. This is because the somewhat lower likelihood of an imminent early election, marginally lower perceived odds
Total(1) => 0.11517882347107 f_f_QM(2) => 0.1104941368103 indS(2) => 0.076335191726685 indM(2) => 0.032083749771118 indM_1(2) => 0.0033762454986572 indM_2(2) => 0.00075411796569824 indM_4(2) => 0.002924919128418 indM_5(2) => 0.0023229122161865 indM_6(2) => 0.0014281272888184 indM_7(2) => 0.0034160614013672 indM_8(2) => 0.0011680126190186 indM_9(2) => 0.008716344833374 indM_10(2) => 0.0075998306274414 f_f_pTL(2) => 0.0029079914093018 f_f_dT(20) => 0.0027303695678711