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Psephology about elections in the European Union • Upcoming: #bpw16 #ReferendumCostituzionale #Presidentielles2017 #25D #Referendum #Seimas2016 #Rinkimai2016

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Europe Elects
EuropeElects
netherlands provincial elections voter turnout at 19 45 cet national level 2019 46 2015 42 2011 48 rotterdam 4
Netherlands, Provincial Elections

Voter turnout at 19:45 CET

National level

2019: 46%
2015: 42%
2011: 48%

Rotterdam: 40.7%
Utrecht: 53.3%
The Hague: 45%

Polling stations close at 21:00 CET

#ProvincialeStatenverkiezingen #opkomst #PS19
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
germany bavaria european election infratest dimap poll csu epp 41 1 grune g efa 19 7 spd sampd 12 8 afd efdd 1
Germany (Bavaria) - European Election, Infratest dimap poll:

CSU-EPP: 41% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 19% (+7)
SPD-S&D: 12% (-8)
AfD-EFDD: 10% (+2)
FW-ALDE: 5% (+1)
FDP-ALDE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. European Election 2014

Field work: 14/03/19 – 18/03/19
Sample size: 1,001
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
ukraine socis poll zelensky sn anti establ 30 2 poroshenko bpp epp 19 1 tymoshenko b epp 14 1 boyko op centre
Ukraine, SOCIS poll:

Zelensky (SN-Anti-Establ.): 30% (+2)
Poroshenko (BPP-EPP): 19% (-1)
Tymoshenko (B-EPP): 14% (-1)
Boyko (OP-Centre-L): 10%
Hrytsenko (HP-ALDE): 9% (+1)
...

+/- with 5-10 Mar 2019

Field work: 9-14 Mar 2019
Sample size: 2,000
#Вибори #Вибори20192019
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
france european election ifop fiducial poll lrem alde 235 rn enf 215 1 lr epp 13 eelv g efa 75 fi left 75 ps s
France (European Election), Ifop-Fiducial poll:

LREM+-ALDE: 23.5%
RN-ENF: 21.5% (+1)
LR-EPP: 13%
EELV-G/EFA: 7.5%
FI-LEFT: 7.5%
PS-S&D: 5.5%
...

+/- vs. 15-19 March '19

Field work: 16/03/19 – 20/03/19
Sample size: 1,413
https://t.co/qOzl2nSVPC
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
eu 27 the centre right epp party has officially voted to temporarily suspend hungarian fidesz from its members
EU 27,

The centre-right EPP party has officially voted to temporarily suspend Hungarian Fidesz from its membership, rescind its voting rights and the right to be present in EPP meetings.

Fidesz has earlier vowed to leave the EPP unilaterally in face of such suspension.
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
netherlands provincial elections voter turnout at 18 00 cet rotterdam 306 utrecth 386 the hague 345
Netherlands, Provincial Elections

Voter turnout at 18:00 CET

Rotterdam: 30.6%
Utrecth: 38.6%
The Hague: 34.5%
#ProvincialeStatenverkiezingen
#opkomst #PS19
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
netherlands provincial elections amsterdam voter turnout at 18 00 cet 2019 2453 2015 246 2011 294 polling stat
Netherlands, Provincial Elections

Amsterdam

Voter turnout at 18:00 CET

2019: 24.53%
2015: 24.6%
2011: 29.4%

Polling stations close at 21:00 CET
#ProvincialeStatenverkiezingen
#opkomst #PS19
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
netherlands provincial elections voter turnout at 17 45 cet 2019 33 2015 31 2011 35 polling stations close at
Netherlands, Provincial Elections

Voter turnout at 17:45 CET

2019: 33%
2015: 31%
2011: 35%

Polling stations close at 21:00 CET

#ProvincialeStatenverkiezingen #opkomst #PS19
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
ukraine rating poll run off scenarios zelensky sn anti establ 57 hrytsenko hp alde 43 tymoshenko b epp 60 4 po
Ukraine, Rating poll:

Run-off scenarios

Zelensky (SN-Anti-Establ.): 57%
Hrytsenko (HP-ALDE): 43%

Tymoshenko (B-EPP): 60% (+4)
Poroshenko (BPP-EPP): 40% (-4)

+/- with 19-28 Feb 2019

Field work: 9-15 Mar 2019
Sample size: 2,500 #Вибори
#Вибори2019 2019
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
ukraine rating poll run off scenarios zelensky sn anti establ 61 tymoshenko b epp 39 zelensky sn anti establ 6
Ukraine, Rating poll:

Run-off scenarios

Zelensky (SN-Anti-Establ.): 61%
Tymoshenko (B-EPP): 39%

Zelensky (SN-Anti-Establ.): 67% (+3)
Poroshenko (BPP-EPP): 33% (-3)

+/- with 19-28 Feb 2019

Field work: 9-15 Mar 2019
Sample size: 2,500
#Вибори #Вибори20192019

The Most Relevant

Europe Elects
EuropeElects
uk yougov poll european union membership referendum scenario remain vs may deal remain 62 12 leave 38 12 24 un
UK, YouGov poll:

European Union membership referendum

Scenario: Remain vs. May Deal

Remain: 62% (+12)
Leave: 38% (-12)

(24% undecided not included)

Fieldwork: 6-7 December 2018
Sample: N/A

#Brexit #BrexitVoteVote
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
uk deltapoll poll eu membership referendum remain 48 2 leave without deal 52 2 with regular leave remain quest
UK, Deltapoll poll:

EU membership referendum

Remain: 48% (-2)
Leave without deal: 52% (+2)

+/- with regular Leave/Remain question, end of October 2018

Field work: 26/11/18 – 27/11/18
Sample size: 1,013

#Brexit
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
spain catalonia gesop poll independence referendum yes 53 6 no 47 6 catalonia spain catalan
Spain (Catalonia), GESOP poll:

Independence Referendum

Yes: 53 (+6)
No: 47 (-6)

#Catalonia #Spain #Catalan
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
turkey constitutional referendum if trend continues no hayir 513 yes evet 487
Turkey: Constitutional Referendum

If trend continues:

No (Hayir): 51.3%
Yes (Evet): 48.7%

#Turkeyreferendum #Turkeyvotes
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
uk northern ireland deltapoll poll irish unification referendum if uk remains in eu yes 40 no 60 if uk leaves
UK (Northern Ireland), Deltapoll poll:

Irish unification referendum:

If UK remains in EU

Yes: 40%
No: 60%

If UK leaves EU

Yes: 57%
No: 43%

If UK leaves EU with a hard border

Yes: 58%
No: 42%

Field work: unreleased
Sample size: 1,199

#Brexit #BorderPoll
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
uk survation poll eu membership referendum age vote remain total 54 6 18 24 77 8 25 34 67 9 35 44 60 9 45 54 5
UK, Survation poll:

EU membership referendum

Age: Vote Remain (%)

Total: 54% (+6)

18-24: 77% (+8)
25-34: 67% (+9)
35-44: 60% (+9)
45-54: 50% (+5)
55-64: 47% (+2)
65-74: 41% (-1)
75+: 36% (-2)

+/- compared with 2016

Sample size: 20,086
Field work: 20/10/18 –02/11/18

#Brexit
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
spain catalonia independence referendum celeste tel poll yes 66 no 34
Spain (Catalonia): Independence Referendum, Celeste Tel poll:

Yes: 66%
No: 34%

#Catalonia #CatalanReferendum #Spain #Espana
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
italy eurosceptic majority confirmed 5 star movement efdd and lega enf together reach about 49 of vote share p
Italy: Eurosceptic majority confirmed: 5 Star Movement (EFDD) and Lega (ENF) together reach about 49% of vote share. Plus the right-wing FdI (*) they reach well over 50%. #Elezioni4Marzo2018 #elezioni2018
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
jeremy corbyns net approval drops to 55 in latest ipsos mori poll this is lowest score for an opposition leade
Jeremy Corbyn’s net-approval drops to -55 in latest Ipsos Mori poll. This is lowest score for an opposition leader since Micheal Foot in August 1982 (-56). Approval among 18-34 year olds drops to 24%, the lowest he has scored in this age category.
Europe Elects
EuropeElects
uk yougov poll eu membership referendum three way question first preference remain 50 leave with deal 17 leave
UK, YouGov poll

EU membership referendum (three-way question)

First preference:

Remain: 50%
Leave with deal: 17%
Leave without deal: 33%

Second preference:

Remain: 55%
Leave with no deal: 45%

Field work: 16/07/18 – 17/07/18
Sample size: 1657
Total(1) => 0.13048601150513 f_f_QM(2) => 0.10763502120972 indS(2) => 0.065746068954468 indM(2) => 0.040153026580811 indM_1(2) => 0.0026860237121582 indM_2(2) => 0.00079584121704102 indM_4(2) => 0.0066196918487549 indM_5(2) => 0.0044372081756592 indM_6(2) => 0.0013360977172852 indM_7(2) => 0.0053579807281494 indM_8(2) => 0.0011708736419678 indM_9(2) => 0.009207010269165 indM_10(2) => 0.0081639289855957 f_f_pTL(2) => 0.021135807037354 f_f_dT(20) => 0.020694971084595