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Treasuries rally reflects visions of a rockier path to recovery

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JPMorgan's top Treasuries trader Rob Allen has been placed on leave amid a compliance review of his electronic messages

Treasuries are in such high demand that nobody wants to buy them anymore.

"Moreover, if you’re one of these guys who has effectively been calling for what we call #Quad2  since the beginning of 2020 (pre-crash), were you short Gold and Treasuries with that economic recovery call too?" via @KeithMcCullough 

There hasn't been a trading session this interesting for Treasuries in months. Look at the clean break in the 5s30s 50-day moving average that started yesterday. Curve flattened to ~98 basis points an hour ago. Has already started to sharply retrace to 101.

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$tsla mkt cap up 52B this week $f and $gm are valued 59B combined nuts Tsla 5.30 Aug 2025 bonds trade at yield of 4.72% or 443bp over 5 yr treasuries stock over 10x sales issue as many shares as you can

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U.S. Treasuries Lead Rally In Long-Dated Bonds On Haven Demand ^ @FAmagazine 

"Moreover, if you’re one of these guys who has effectively been calling for what we call #Quad2  since the beginning of 2020 (pre-crash), were you short Gold and Treasuries with that economic recovery call too?" via @KeithMcCullough 

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I have to laugh when financial media talking heads aver that China has “leverage” over the U.S. because China owns about $1 Trillion U.S. Treasuries and might sell in “retaliation”. Heck, the U.S. Treasury “sold” about that amount in April alone!

This week... Apple $AAPL: -12.6% Oil: -11.8% Microsoft $MSFT: -11.4% Google $GOOGL: -11.4% Dow: -11.1% S&P 500: -10.8% Nasdaq: -10.6% Amazon $AMZN: -10.1% Facebook $FB: -9.7% Shanghai Composite: -1.6% Gold: -0.4% Yen/Dollar: +1.6% 20+ Year Treasuries: +2.6% Volatility $VIX: +129%

We could increase taxes two fold, add a VAT, catch all the mishandled state pension funds and Social Security up to date, put surplus revenues in the state and federal treasuries, and you can bet your boots that the politicians would be back in debt in a year

$81.2 billion in Treasuries have mysteriously vanished from Russia's books

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin is exactly right to explore 50 and 100 year US Treasuries. We should immediately issue modest amounts and expand them until the market stops buying.could save billions in interest payments over time.

Wall Street Week Virgin Galactic $SPCE: -27% Tesla $TSLA: -26% Apple $AAPL: -13% Dow: -12% Oil: -12% S&P 500: -11% Nasdaq: -11% Amazon $AMZN: -10% Google $GOOGL: -10% Microsoft $MSFT: -9% Bitcoin: -9% Gold $GLD: -4% Yen/Dollar: +2% 20+ Year Treasuries: +5% Volatility $VIX: +135%

2020 Returns... Tesla $TSLA: +91% Bitcoin: +41% $MSFT: +18% Amazon $AMZN: +16% $GOOGL: +13% Apple $AAPL: +11% Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +10% treasuries'>Long-term Treasuries $TLT: +7% S&P 500 $SPY: +5% Gold $GLD: +4% Bonds $AGG: +2% Small Caps $IWM: +1% China $FXI: -3% Copper $JJC: -7% Oil $USO: -15%

2020 Returns... Tesla $TSLA: +79% Bitcoin: +35% $MSFT: +17% Amazon $AMZN: +13% $GOOGL: +10% Apple $AAPL: +9% Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +8% treasuries'>Long-term Treasuries $TLT: +7% Gold $GLD: +3% S&P 500 $SPY: +3% Bonds $AGG: +2% Small Caps $IWM: -0.5% China $FXI: -5% Copper $JJC: -9% Oil $USO: -17%

the bond market just closed with inverted yield curve for Treasuries - a key indicator of looming recession - for the first time since 2007

NEVER FORGET - CHINA OWNS a massive amount of US Treasuries Aggressively selling would be shooting themselves in the foot, but it would hurt us more. They could drive the price down and spike rates #tradewars  are not easy to win

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