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This Atlantic piece about Peter Turchin which clocks elite overproduction is worth a read. I like to consider it in the framing of @anacyclosis_org 

In 2010, Peter Turchin predicted the unrest of 2020. For the next decade, he foretells havoc at best and civil war at worst.

Maverick academic Peter Turchin says he can identify impending societal collapse by a surplus of elites who can't find employment but both Greenwald and Sullivan are making Substack bank so

You thought 2020 was bad? You don't want to meet 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030. peter turchin'>Historian Peter Turchin says he has discovered iron laws that predict the rise and fall of societies. He has bad news: for America. ? @TheAtlantic 

Peter Turchin believes he has discovered iron laws that predict the rise and fall of societies, @gcaw  reports. He has bad news for America.

Feel good & be optimistic, says @Peter_Turchin : "The next decade could be even worse"

Ten years ago, scientist Peter Turchin predicted political discord in America and Europe as a result of the “overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees”

Ten years ago, scientist Peter Turchin predicted political discord in America and Europe as a result of the “overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees”

Ten years ago, scientist Peter Turchin predicted political discord in America and Europe as a result of the “overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees”

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The more educated societies are, argues Peter Turchin, a scientist, the more dissatisfied elites there will be

Ten years ago, scientist Peter Turchin predicted political discord in America and Europe as a result of the “overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees”

Ten years ago, scientist Peter Turchin predicted political discord in America and Europe as a result of the “overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees”

A statistic called the political stress indicator, which can warn when societies are at risk of erupting into violence, was developed by evolutionary anthropologist Peter Turchin. It's spiking in America, just like it did before the Civil War.

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