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@ChoralReave  @GallupI 'm going by historic modeling over the last 12 years. Also, Ds tend to be clustered in the coastal states. I discussed it in this post, but it's VIP only. In the big GOP wave election in 2010, it was D+3/I-split D+1. 2016 was D+4/I-split D+3.

@conorsen  this isn't a critique bc i feel the same way, but it's amazing how mod-libs/Democrats at this point automatically unskew Florida in their heads Polls: FL D+3, FL even, FL D+2, me: damn, Biden's losing FL by a point that sucks

Texas congressional candidates who've announced 7-figure Q3s so far: #TX07  — Hunt (R): $2.5M #TX10  — Siegel (D): $1M #TX21  — Davis (D): $3.4M #TX22  — Kulkarni (D): $2.1M #TX23  — Jones (D): $1.7M [Gonzales (R) said he raised $1M across accounts but didn't specify campaign haul]

A lot is made about Duncan Robinson starting off in D-3, but it’s also amazing that, after transferring to Michigan, he was 6th leading scorer on his own team as a junior and 4th leading scorer as senior (at just 9.2 points per game) behind Matthews & Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman.

perl -e 'use Date::Parse; use POSIX; my @t  = localtime; print strftime ( "%a Mar ", @t  ) . int (1 + 0.5 + ((str2time (strftime ( "%Y-%m-%d 3:00 ", @t  )) - str2time ( "2020-03-01 3:00 ")) /(60*60*24))) . strftime ( " %X %Z %Y\n ", @t  );' 4/

#TREASURE ‘THE FIRST STEP : CHAPTER ONE’ D-3 POSTER 1st SINGLE ALBUM ‘THE FIRST STEP : CHAPTER ONE’ ✅2020.08.07 6PM #트레저 #1stSINGLEALBUM  #THEFIRSTSTEP_CHAPTERONE  #D_3  #20200807_6PM  #YG 

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Italy, SWG poll: LEGA-ID: 27% (+1) PD-S&D: 20% M5S-NI: 16% FdI-ECR: 14% FI-EPP: 6% LeU-S&D|LEFT: 4% A-S&D: 3% IV-RE: 3% EV-G/EFA: 2% +E-RE: 2% C!-EPP|ECR: 1% +/- vs. 22-27 Jul. '20 Fieldwork: 29 July - 3 August 2020 Sample size: 1,200 ➤

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YG's new idol group TREASURE unveils D-3 teaser poster for their up coming debut album

Italy, Termometro Politico poll: LEGA-ID: 27% (-1) PD-S&D: 21% (+1) M5S-NI: 15% FdI-ECR: 14% FI-EPP: 6% Azione-S&D: 3% LS-LEFT: 3% IV-RE: 3% Italexit-*: 2% +E-RE: 2% (+1) EV-G/EFA: 1% (-1) PC-NI: 1% +/- vs. 22-23 Jul. '20 Fieldwork: 29-30 July 2020 Sample size: 2,000

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Ireland, B&A poll: SF-LEFT: 30% (+5) FG-EPP: 29% (+8) FF-RE: 20% (+2) GREEN-G/EFA: 6% (-1) LAB-S&D: 3% (-1) SD: 1% (-2) S-PBP-LEFT: 1% (-2) RENUA-*: 1% (+1) +/- vs. 2020 election Fieldwork: 17 - 28 July 2020 Sample size: 634 ➤

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[BLACKPINK IN YOUR AREA D-3 "LISA"] originally posted by #20160808  #8PM  #888  #DEBUT  #D3  #YG 

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#JENNIE #SOLO ’ M/V TEASER First Single & M/V Release ✅ 2018. 11. 12 #BLACKPINK  #블랙핑크 #제니 #D_3  #YG 

[BLACKPINK - SQUARE TWO TEASER FILM 'JENNIE&ROSÉ' D-3] originally posted by #불장난 #PLAYINGWITHFIRE  #STAY  #WHISTLE 

[BLACKPINK IN YOUR AREA D-3] originally posted by #SQUAREONE  #20160808  #8PM  #888  #DEBUT  #YG 

[BLACKPINK - SQUARE TWO TEASER FILM 'JISOO&LISA' D-3] originally posted by #불장난 #PLAYINGWITHFIRE  #STAY  #휘파람 #WHISTLE 

#iKON 'NEW KIDS:CONTINUE' D-3 ? Title song : 죽겠다(Killing Me) ? Sub-title song : 바람(Freedom) New Mini Album#NewKidsContinue ' ✅ 2018.08.02 6PM #아이콘 #NewKids  #Continue  #죽겠다 #KillingMe  #BOBBY  #20180802_6PM  #YG 

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#iKON 'NEW KIDS:CONTINUE' D-3 ? Title song : 죽겠다(Killing Me) ? Sub-title song : 바람(Freedom) New Mini Album#NewKidsContinue ' ✅ 2018.08.02 6PM #아이콘 #NewKids  #Continue  #죽겠다 #KillingMe  #JAY  #20180802_6PM  #YG 

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