it wouldn t work if your polls never had a good year but polling is hard and sometimes polls that have a crapp
It wouldn't work if your polls *never* had a good year, but polling is hard and sometimes polls that have a crappy methodology are gonna get lucky. Meanwhile being "the pollster that always has good news for [insert party]" will win you an audience among partisans.
tbh not a bad racket to have polls that are consistently skewed toward the gop maybe once per 3 or 4 elections
TBH, not a bad racket to have polls that are consistently skewed toward the GOP. Maybe once per 3 or 4 elections (2016), R's beat their polls, you look like geniuses. The rest of the time, your polls suck, but you BS your way thru it & criticize people who evaluate poll accuracy.
re rasmussen worth noting that founder scott rasmussen was ousted from rasmussen reports several years ago in
re: Rasmussen: worth noting that founder Scott Rasmussen was ousted from Rasmussen Reports several years ago (in 2013). While their polls have always had a GOP lean, Scott was a good guy who cared about polling accuracy. The guy who took over (Ted Carroll) is…a…different story.
a lot to give up but if the lakers can sign a 3rd guy haven t done the math but it looks like they have maybe
A lot to give up but if the Lakers can sign a 3rd guy (haven't done the math but it looks like they have maybe $30m-ish available?) a team of LeBron + AD + FA TBD + Kuzma + 10 replacement level dudes might be the best team in a league where everything's in transition/turmoil.
in other words some voters who like both candidates or even mildly prefer warren might stick with bernie so lo
In other words, some voters who like both candidates (or even mildly prefer Warren) might stick with Bernie so long as he seems to have the clearer path to the nomination. But the moment she appears equally/more viable, they could jump to her instead.
while sanders supporters and warren supporters are far from perfectly overlapping if i were bernie s campaign
While Sanders supporters and Warren supporters are far from perfectly overlapping, if I were Bernie's campaign I'd nonetheless be concerned that if Warren passes me in the polls at some point, it could trigger a bandwagon effect that would be hard to come back from.
i don t think it matters that much but there s also the chance that the first debate becomes about a breakout
@micahcohen I don't think it matters *that* much. But there's also the chance that the first debate becomes about a breakout moment for Booker, Klob or Beto, all of whom are probably fairly decent debators who have been struggling to gain traction.
just watched a canadian team win a championship in an american sport while drinking beer from a dutch multinat
Just watched a Canadian team win a championship in an American sport while drinking beer from a Dutch multinational conglomerate at an Irish-themed bar in Brazil while wearing a cap with a Japanese baseball team's logo. Then took an Uber home. Have achieved peak @neoliberal-ism.
if you re one of those news organizations that treated clinton s private emails like they were a national emer
If you're one of those news organizations that treated Clinton's private emails like they were a national emergency, the solution isn't to treat Ivanka's private emails like they're also a national emergency—rather, it's to acknowledge that you kinda fucked up on Clinton.
this is obvious i guess but if you want to cut down on bothsidesism put people on tv who have subject matter e
This is obvious I guess, but if you want to cut down on bothsidesism, put people on TV who have subject-matter expertise acquired through reporting or research... not generalists who are asked to opine on a whole bunch of topics they don't really know anything about.