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265,975 followers   •   1,000 following   •   San Francisco   •   http://www.ben-evans.com/

Tech, mobile & media. Trying to work out what's going on, and what happens next. @a16z

Latest Scoops

Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
i know its hard to cover tech in a generalist newspaper but can we please try to do better than this what does
I know it’s hard to cover tech in a generalist newspaper, but can we please try to do better than this? What does ‘Google is going to encrypt Chrome’ mean? What would it mean? Please tell me this isn’t the discovery of HTTPS, 25 years after the event?
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
no really not that simple bias is a very specific kind of issue
No, really not that simple. Bias is a very specific kind of issue.
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
its impossible to know what might be going wrong in a machine learning system but with all previous complex sy
“It’s impossible to know what might be going wrong in a machine learning system, but with all previous complex systems you could easily understand, audit and make changes”.
Boeing: 🤔
NASA: 🤔🤔
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
separately i often think its unhelpful to group this ml system isnt doing what you think with bad people might
Separately, I often think it’s unhelpful to group ‘this ML system isn’t doing what you think’ with ‘bad people might do bad things with ML’ under the same label of ‘AI ethics’. They’re different issues with different solutions. 2/2
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
it seems to me there are two misconceptions about ai bias or ml bias that non ml systems are any easier or mor
It seems to me there are two misconceptions about ‘AI bias’ or ‘ML bias’:
That non-ML systems are any easier or more practical to understand than ML systems.
That bias in ML systems will only be human biases, relating to human diversity.
Neither of these is really correct 1/2
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
veryshortbooks
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
is the consensus still towards using double opt in for newsletters
Is the consensus still towards using double opt in for newsletters?
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
interesting that of course you cant have a loss leader until you have fixed prices a key innovation of departm
(Interesting that of course you can’t have a loss-leader until you have fixed prices - a key innovation of department stores.)
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
amazon sells things below cost
“Amazon sells things below cost”
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
the more facebook headlines i see the more i think about microsofts struggle with almost exactly the same prob
The more Facebook headlines I see, the more I think about Microsoft’s struggle with almost exactly the same problem 20 years ago https://t.co/d6iC5vcGvL
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The Most Relevant

Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
i run the innovation lab its like were a startup but inside a big company
“I run the innovation lab. It’s like we’re a startup, but inside a big company.” https://t.co/q3m7XysPNn
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
image the pixar render farm in 1995 half of an iphone
Image: the Pixar render farm in 1995. Half of an iPhone.
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
the global sms system does around 20bn messages a day whatsapp is now doing 42bn with 57 engineers
The global SMS system does around 20bn messages a day. WhatsApp is now doing 42bn. With 57 engineers.
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
what do we want natural language processing when do we want it sorry when do we want what
WHAT DO WE WANT?
Natural language processing!
WHEN DO WE WANT IT?
Sorry, when do we want what?
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
google search for medical bankruptcy by region
Google search for ‘medical bankruptcy’ by region
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
a key premise for the next decade it s easier for software to enter other industries than for other industries
A key premise for the next decade: it's easier for software to enter other industries than for other industries to hire software people
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
russia today
Russia today.
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
sometimes i missing living in a country where the rule of law applies
Sometimes I missing living in a country where the rule of law applies. https://t.co/gP2FVXfHb2
Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
i have a theory that all the silicon valley kids being sent on stem courses and coding camps aged 3 will grow
I have a theory that all the Silicon Valley kids being sent on STEM courses and coding camps aged 3 will grow up to be poets or philosophers out of pure rebellion
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Benedict Evans
BenedictEvans
its important to know how to say i dont know i dont have a view thats not my field or you would know better th
It’s important to know how to say ‘I don’t know’, ‘I don’t have a view’, ‘that’s not my field’, or ‘you would know better than me’.
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Total(1) => 0.15964603424072 f_f_QM(2) => 0.13963222503662 indS(2) => 0.096980094909668 indM(2) => 0.040292024612427 indM_1(2) => 0.0061070919036865 indM_2(2) => 0.00093197822570801 indM_4(2) => 0.0028319358825684 indM_5(2) => 0.0027060508728027 indM_6(2) => 0.0011727809906006 indM_7(2) => 0.0080580711364746 indM_8(2) => 0.0010848045349121 indM_9(2) => 0.0088679790496826 indM_10(2) => 0.0082287788391113 f_f_pTL(2) => 0.018158912658691 f_f_dT(20) => 0.017698526382446